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The prediction market is undergoing a subtle paradigm shift. Many emerging platforms are challenging the industry’s long-standing emphasis on 'accurate pricing efficiency' and instead are focusing on a seemingly contradictory approach—using speed and ease of use to expand market breadth.
Worm.wtf exemplifies this trend. Its logic is straightforward: rather than obsessing over pricing precision, it allows anyone to participate within 3 seconds. What does this mean? It means that previously overlooked niche topics—such as the name of the first cat on Mars in 2050—can now be officially listed as tradable markets. The long-tail value is activated.
However, this 'speed-first' philosophy conceals some issues we should not ignore. First, rapid iteration of new markets may lead to insufficient market data support. Without enough historical data and genuine interactions, these markets are prone to becoming hunting grounds for whales. Second, liquidity risks in niche markets become even more prominent—you might bet correctly on the direction, but find no one willing to take the other side, causing trading to stall.
From a user experience perspective, this shift indeed lowers the participation barrier, allowing beginners to get started quickly. But whether this speed sacrifices market depth and authenticity remains to be seen. A well-designed product often needs to strike a balance between efficiency and security, and Worm.wtf’s experiment has only just begun.