#数字资产动态追踪 ## BTC Breakthrough of 92800 and Breakout Strategies

Time: January 5, 2026, 14:40 (UTC+8)
Current Price: Around 92800

Recent market movements are quite interesting—BTC is continuously testing new highs at high levels. From the daily chart, "higher highs and stable lows" indicate that the bulls are still advancing in an orderly manner. However, some signals on the 4-hour chart warrant caution: MACD shows signs of bearish divergence, and the 1-hour RSI has entered the overbought zone, suggesting a short-term technical pullback is possible.

**Let's first look at support and resistance levels**

Downward key levels:
- 91500-92000 is the newly formed support after the intraday breakout; a correction to this range can still be considered healthy consolidation.
- Below that, 90800-91000 is the critical line; breaking this would require caution.
- 88800-89600 is the mid-term defensive bottom line.

Upward levels:
- 93000-94000 is a recent high-density zone, with obvious resistance.
- 94000-95000 is where the most trapped positions are, making a breakout difficult.
- Once volume breaks above 95000, the previous high at 98000 becomes the next target.

**How to trade without getting caught**

**Long positions** (priority consideration):

Conservative approach—if your risk appetite is low, consider buying in stages within the 89600-90600 range, with a stop-loss below 88800. Target around 92500-93000, with each position controlling no more than 10% of total funds. This way, even if you get caught in a trap, losses are limited.

More aggressive—if the price stabilizes after retracing to 91500-92000, you can go long, placing a stop-loss at 91000, with a target of 93000-94000. Keep position size below 5%, since this is a short-term operation with higher risk.

Chasing the high—only consider entering a long when volume breaks above 95000. In this case, keep the position smaller, around 3%, with a stop-loss at 94000, aiming directly for 98000.

**Short positions** (be cautious with actions):

Attempting a short at 93000-94000 in stages—stop-loss must be set at 94500, with a target back to 91500-92000. Only small positions, within 3%, are advisable here.

The bottom line—once it breaks 95000, close all short positions immediately and avoid fighting the market. Also, do not hold shorts overnight, as risks can shift rapidly.

**Position sizing and risk control**

Long positions: after profits are realized, move stop-loss up to 91000 to protect gains. If it falls below 90800, start reducing positions gradually. If it breaks 88800, exit all positions without hesitation.

Short positions: take profits around 91500-92000, avoid greed.

Leverage—if trading futures, do not exceed 5x leverage. Keep individual stop-loss amounts within 5% of total funds; this is the bottom line. Don't risk your entire account just for a few extra gains.

**Final tips**

Be aware of these risk points:

The bearish divergence on the 4-hour MACD and the overbought condition on the 1-hour RSI could trigger a correction. Do not chase highs blindly; it’s easy to get trapped.

Market-moving factors include US stock volatility, large institutional holdings like Grayscale, ETF fund flows, etc. Stay updated with news.

One last note—this analysis is purely based on technical perspectives and does not constitute any investment advice. Market risks always exist, so operate cautiously. $BTC