How will Bitcoin start 2026? This question is sparking heated discussions in the market. Optimists are still painting a dream of six figures, but actual trading data from exchanges tell a different story.

According to the latest data from a leading prediction platform, market opinions on Bitcoin's recent price increase are showing a clear divergence. $120,000 is seen as the most likely target, with a probability of up to 45%. Sounds good, but the question is—this level is still below the all-time high set in 2025.

Looking upward? The situation is even more interesting. Traders who believe $130,000 is achievable account for 35%, those optimistic about $140,000 drop to 28%, and only 21% are betting on $150,000. The numbers speak for themselves—confidence is waning. Why?

There are several key factors behind the current situation. It’s an undisputed fact that institutions are continuously absorbing liquidity. Bitcoin's price has been compressed at the top of its technical pattern, like a spring being pushed to its limit. This kind of setup usually indicates the market is gathering strength, not exhausted.

What’s next? Will it break out after gathering strength, or will it oscillate within a certain range? This will directly influence when the $150,000 target might be reached—and whether it can be achieved in the current cycle. For now, traders seem to be playing a game of patience. History tells us that Bitcoin often rewards those who hold on.