#2026年比特币行情展望 Duan Yongping's story is often brought up, but a closer look reveals that it is a classic case of survivor bias. There are countless successful people, but very few who have accumulated wealth as steadily as he has. Conversely, most ordinary people want to turn their fortunes around, and what they rely on is not long-term value investing, but seizing market opportunities—essentially speculation.



This is not something worth criticizing. The recent Bitcoin market movement is very clear: early investors made money, those who jumped in midway can also share the gains, but all require a sense of market rhythm. Ordinary people don't have enough capital to compound slowly, nor the patience to wait ten or eight years; market volatility itself is an opportunity. The key is how to grasp the rhythm, rather than rigidly holding onto a certain asset like a monk.

From another perspective, instead of envying Duan Yongping's success story, it's better to ask yourself: in the current market environment, where are my opportunities? Is it holding coins and waiting for appreciation, or finding buy and sell points amid volatility? This is the reality.
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ForkItAllDayvip
· 16h ago
Honestly, Duan Yongping's approach can't be copied now; the times have changed. Instead of waiting ten years, it's better to clarify whether you want to gamble or invest. Market fluctuations are just a harvesting machine for chives; the key is whether you're wielding a sickle or being harvested. Opportunities are indeed within the volatility, but very few people can truly seize them. Speculation itself isn't a problem; the issue is that most people only lose money when they speculate. Getting in early versus now is a whole different level of difficulty. Where are my opportunities? Everyone should have an idea in their mind, but most don't. Holding coins or swing trading depends on whether you want stability or a quick turnaround. Duan's story is too idealized; reality is much harsher.
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GasFeeVictimvip
· 22h ago
Well said, survivor bias is really the biggest toxic positivity It's just about catching the right rhythm, nothing mysterious Waiting ten years? Bro, I can't wait that long, gotta seize the wave during the fluctuations
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StableCoinKarenvip
· 01-05 06:31
There's nothing wrong with that; Duan Yongping's approach doesn't work well today. It's really a mindset issue; most people can't withstand ten years of temptation. In my opinion, it's during fluctuations that the real money is made—buying the dip and selling the top are the real tasks. Stop overthinking long-term value investing; the market teaches people the fastest.
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ILCollectorvip
· 01-05 06:21
That's so true. Duan Yongping's approach is already outdated. Tell the story of Fortnite to millionaires; ordinary people have to find work amidst the fluctuations.
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GasOptimizervip
· 01-05 06:13
Survivorship bias is indeed a big pitfall, but we need to do the math—historical data shows that the probability of 95% of short-term traders losing is much higher than that of long-term holders. From the perspective of capital efficiency, there is indeed arbitrage potential in volatility, but the question is how much transaction fees eat up, what the on-chain costs are geometrically, and where the optimal solution lies.
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MergeConflictvip
· 01-05 06:05
Not wrong at all, Duan Yongping's approach is just a dream for retail investors --- Instead of waiting ten or eight years, it's better to grasp the fluctuations of this wave of market, honestly, this is the real way to play --- Ordinary people don't have the capital to slowly compound, it depends on opportunities --- Opportunities are indeed in the fluctuations, the key is whether you dare to take action --- Survivor bias hits hard, successful ones are praised, failures are ignored --- You're absolutely right, market rhythm is more important than long-term holding --- Speculation isn't bad, it's actually the only chance for retail investors to turn things around --- The problem is most people simply can't grasp the rhythm and are easily cut --- Now it all depends on whether you're just holding coins or looking for buy and sell points --- Instead of learning from Duan Yongping, it's better to learn how to survive in a bear market
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AirdropHuntressvip
· 01-05 06:04
Survivorship bias hits hard. Data shows that very few can achieve steady compound growth for ten years; most still rely on swing trading to make a living.
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