#比特币价格预测 Seeing RSI drop to its lowest level in nearly three years, with the weekly chart falling straight from 64 to 35, this extreme oversold signal is indeed worth paying attention to. The historical data is right here — the rebound in January 2023 showed how fierce Bitcoin's bounce from the bottom could be; everyone knows this.

But here’s a key point: Santiment’s analysis hits my pain point. There hasn’t been enough panic on social media yet; instead, many are saying "a rebound is just around the corner" — which precisely indicates that the bottom might not have truly been reached. The drop from 80,500 to 75,000 still has room to go, and Fidelity even suggests 65,000 could be possible.

For me, the probability of a short-term rebound has increased, but that doesn’t mean I can go all-in directly. The crucial part is how to allocate and follow trades:

**Aggressive traders** can try small positions at this oversold point, setting stop-losses below 74,000 to catch quick rebound gains. **Conservative players** shouldn’t rush; wait until social sentiment truly collapses and market sentiment is exhausted before entering, which could lead to more solid gains.

Experience has shown me that technically attractive entry points only increase the probability of opportunity, not guarantee it. The real profit logic lies in finding the rhythm between emotional imbalance and recovery. This wave looks like a rebound opportunity, but the premise is that you must recognize your risk tolerance — otherwise, stories of catching the top happen every year.