Forecast markets reproduce high-yield trading, sparking market attention.



According to data from on-chain analysis platforms, three wallets gained significant profits during the political events in Venezuela.

**Trade Data Review**

A few hours before 10:32 on January 4th, these three wallets completed their betting operations prior to the related events. Based on on-chain records:

• Wallet 0x31a5: invested $34,000, ultimately earning $409,900, with a return of over 1200%
• Wallet 0xa72D: invested $5,800, earning $75,000, with a return of 1293%
• SBet365: invested $25,000, earning $145,600, with a return of 582%

The total profit of these three wallets exceeds $630,000.

**Notable Features**

In terms of timing, these wallets placed bets within a few hours of the events. From the perspective of fund flow, these accounts' funds are highly focused on the Venezuelan political event, with no records of other types of investments. The returns significantly exceed the typical profit levels for such events.

**Market Impact and Discussion**

This type of trading pattern has sparked discussions about information symmetry and market fairness in prediction markets. On one hand, large profits with high precision may reflect participants' deep analytical ability regarding geopolitical situations; on the other hand, the very short time window and concentrated fund allocation also raise questions about information access disparities in the market.

As emerging on-chain financial tools, prediction markets are still continuously improving their compliance frameworks and risk management mechanisms. The appearance of such cases also reminds platforms and regulators to further strengthen transaction monitoring and transparency.

What are your thoughts on the fairness of prediction markets? Feel free to share in the comments.
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BankruptWorkervip
· 12h ago
内鬼交易罢了,能早知道几小时就下手,不是信息差就是有内部人士
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PhantomMinervip
· 01-04 10:54
It's another case of insider trading, isn't it? It's way too obvious...
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AirdropHarvestervip
· 01-04 10:47
It's insider information again, how is it so coincidental? --- Oh my God, a 1200% return? Wake up everyone, this is not analysis, it's obviously knowing in advance. --- Wait, how come all three wallets placed bets just hours before the event... how strong is that prediction ability? Or is it not even a prediction? --- Prediction markets are like this, there are always people making big money and others losing badly, it's just an information gap. --- Compliance framework? Regulation? Ha, everything is transparent on-chain but also nothing is transparent, it all depends on who is quick and who has the inside info. --- That's why I only dare to play small amounts, if big players operate like this, how can ordinary people survive? --- A 1293% return... I'm envious, let's just say it directly.
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PhantomHuntervip
· 01-04 10:35
Huh? A 1200% return rate, that's outrageous. They must know something we don't. Oh my god, insider information is definitely involved. This is the current state of Web3—if you have an information advantage, you win big. Placing bets a few hours ago? How could it be so accurate? Truly a slick move. Want a fair prediction market? First, you need to improve transparency.
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SeasonedInvestorvip
· 01-04 10:30
This is not analysis ability, it's just another way of saying insider trading. --- Same old story, precise ambush a few hours in advance, with a return rate jumping to 1200%. Who would believe that? --- Prediction markets? Basically just a playground for information brokers. --- $630,000, appearing out of thin air like that, it's too magical. --- On-chain transparency? What a joke. That's the most ironic part. --- Always talking about information symmetry, but some people just know things earlier than you and can still make a killing. --- They completed the layout in a few hours. I bet five dollars they have insider information about the market that you don't know.
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