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Forecast markets reproduce high-yield trading, sparking market attention.
According to data from on-chain analysis platforms, three wallets gained significant profits during the political events in Venezuela.
**Trade Data Review**
A few hours before 10:32 on January 4th, these three wallets completed their betting operations prior to the related events. Based on on-chain records:
• Wallet 0x31a5: invested $34,000, ultimately earning $409,900, with a return of over 1200%
• Wallet 0xa72D: invested $5,800, earning $75,000, with a return of 1293%
• SBet365: invested $25,000, earning $145,600, with a return of 582%
The total profit of these three wallets exceeds $630,000.
**Notable Features**
In terms of timing, these wallets placed bets within a few hours of the events. From the perspective of fund flow, these accounts' funds are highly focused on the Venezuelan political event, with no records of other types of investments. The returns significantly exceed the typical profit levels for such events.
**Market Impact and Discussion**
This type of trading pattern has sparked discussions about information symmetry and market fairness in prediction markets. On one hand, large profits with high precision may reflect participants' deep analytical ability regarding geopolitical situations; on the other hand, the very short time window and concentrated fund allocation also raise questions about information access disparities in the market.
As emerging on-chain financial tools, prediction markets are still continuously improving their compliance frameworks and risk management mechanisms. The appearance of such cases also reminds platforms and regulators to further strengthen transaction monitoring and transparency.
What are your thoughts on the fairness of prediction markets? Feel free to share in the comments.