#预测市场 The prediction market is making big news again. Kalshi originally planned to launch a contract on the transfer of U.S. college athletes, but the NCAA directly blew up and strongly opposed such prediction markets. Thinking about their logic carefully, it’s not without reason—once betting is added to athlete transfers and game performance, student athletes become vulnerable to harassment, and the integrity of the competition can also be compromised.

This serves as a reminder to the crypto community: seemingly high-yield prediction market interactions may involve regulatory red lines behind the scenes. Even if the CFTC’s approval documents have been submitted, they can still be temporarily shelved, indicating policy risks do exist. Instead of blindly chasing trends and participating in projects that might be halted, it’s better to focus on airdrops with clear policies and well-defined compliance progress.

Recently, prediction markets have been quite hot, but remember one thing: regulatory attitude determines the life or death of a project. The earlier you understand the policy pressures a project faces, the better you can avoid risks in advance. Next time you encounter a similar situation, first check if there are any opposition voices from regulatory authorities before taking action.