#比特币技术分析 US rate hike landing, market sentiment has indeed improved. After reviewing the technical analysis by San Mu Xia, I believe this judgment has some reference value—$98,600 to $107,000 as a key resistance zone, and $112,500 as a strong resistance level. These levels are worth paying close attention to.

However, there is a detail worth pondering: what does the market consensus on bullishness usually imply? Recently, my strategy adjustment when copying trades is that when analysts are highly aligned, I will proactively reduce my position size in the copy trades, and even start to cut positions on some aggressive traders. It’s not that I am pessimistic about the future, but that the risk is often greatest where there are the most people.

Arthur Hayes calls for Bitcoin to reach $1 million, Garrett Jin sets the first target at $106,000. These bold claims have limited reference value in the short-term technical context. My practice is to focus on core driving factors (Federal Reserve balance sheet expansion + technical sideways consolidation), rather than being led by extreme predictions.

Currently, my strategy is to keep existing copy trade positions stable while observing whether more transparent mechanisms and stricter stop-loss setups are being implemented by top traders. After the rate hike dust settles, the next focus will be on the Fed’s stance—this is the key to determining the complexity of the subsequent market trend.