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Opinion: Bitcoin's volatility range has been compressed to a new level of price fluctuation.
Deep Tide TechFlow News, January 02, According to Coindesk, over the past two weeks, Bitcoin prices have been fluctuating narrowly between $85,000 and $90,000. Based on TradingView data, the difference between its Bollinger Bands (volatility bands, located two standard deviations above and below the 20-day simple moving average of the asset price) has narrowed to below $3,500, the lowest level since July.
This so-called Bollinger Band squeeze indicates that the market is in a low-volatility phase, accumulating energy in preparation for the next major move. Historical experience shows that such a squeeze often precedes sharp price volatility.
For example, the last Bollinger Band squeeze in late July ended a two-week sideways consolidation between $115,000 and $120,000. This squeeze paved the way for expansion over the next three months, with prices fluctuating wildly between $100,000 and $126,000.
A similar pattern also appeared in late February: prices fluctuated between $94,000 and $98,000, the Bollinger Bands narrowed, and then by the end of the month, prices fell to $80,000.