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Why Capital Eventually Returns to BTC: Wang Feng's Analysis of ETH's Market Cycle
In recent market movements, Ethereum’s performance has temporarily outpaced Bitcoin, creating what many view as a divergence between the two largest cryptocurrencies. However, Wang Feng, founder of Blueport Interactive, offers a perspective that contextualizes this apparent shift within a broader cyclical pattern.
According to Wang Feng’s analysis, the current ETH rally reflects timing differences in market narratives rather than a fundamental change in the relationship between these assets. He notes that such windows of outperformance tend to be transient, often leaving investors scrambling to reposition their portfolios before sentiment reverses.
Understanding the ETH-BTC Relationship
The key to understanding this dynamic lies in recognizing ETH’s functional role within crypto markets. Rather than viewing Ethereum as a direct competitor or substitute for Bitcoin, Wang Feng argues it should be understood as a β-amplifier—a mechanism that magnifies BTC’s performance characteristics. This relationship extends beyond short-term price movements; it encompasses the macro-level capital flows, regulatory developments, and market capitalization trajectories that both assets share.
Historical Precedent and Future Expectations
Wang Feng points to historical cycles to support this thesis. During the 2017 ICO boom, Ethereum’s emergence as the platform for token launches reinforced Bitcoin’s risk premium rather than diminishing it. Similarly, the 2020 DeFi cycle demonstrated how ETH’s utility enhancements acted as leverage within the broader market structure, while BTC maintained its anchor role as the most established and recognized digital asset.
This pattern suggests a predictable outcome: while ETH may lead price movements during specific narrative windows, large institutional investors ultimately route profits back into Bitcoin. This capital repatriation reflects both BTC’s position as the primary value store and its role as the foundational asset within the crypto ecosystem.