The 2025 $150 billion liquidation behind the scenes: the daily shuffle of bulls and bears and extreme events

RumbleValidator · 2025-12-26T08:08:16+00:00

In 2025, the nominal amount of forced liquidations across the entire network is approximately $150 billion, with an average of $4-5 billion per day. The majority of liquidation amounts on trading days range from tens of millions to hundreds of millions of dollars, mainly due to high leverage and short-term position liquidations. What truly impacts the market are a few extreme time windows, such as the deleveraging event in mid-October. Paying attention to these event windows is more important than focusing on the total figures.

RumbleValidator

2025-12-26 08:08:16

Abstract generation in progress

【Blockchain Rhythm】 Since 2025, the nominal amount of forced liquidations across the entire network has totaled approximately $150 billion. It sounds alarming, but when averaged out daily, it’s only about $400 million to $500 million.

From another perspective, most trading days see liquidations fluctuating within the range of tens of millions to a few hundred million dollars. What are these? Routine margin adjustments and short-term position liquidations under high leverage conditions, which have limited long-term impact on price trends and market structure.

What can really cause a stir are those few extreme time windows. The deleveraging event from October 10 to October 11 in mid-October is a typical example of systemic pressure release. It is during such times that the market structure truly undergoes dramatic changes.

So don’t be scared by the total figures; the key is to focus on those truly influential event windows.

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NFTDreamer

· 2025-12-29 06:40

150 billion sounds impressive, but when broken down, it's just everyday fish feeding. The truly heartbreaking moments are those few black swan events.

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ChainWallflower

· 2025-12-28 10:00

150 billion sounds impressive, but when broken down, it's just a drop in the bucket, I say. --- This logic isn't wrong; daily liquidations are just the market's breathing, and truly major events are rare as hell. --- The key is to seize those few extreme windows; other times, it's just nonsense. --- Well said, don't be brainwashed by big numbers; you need to look at quality, not quantity. --- I'm telling you, those who shout about market crashes every day have never experienced a real systemic shock. --- On average, only a few hundred million per day, which isn't much; I haven't been scared at all. --- Liquidations are normal; leverage should be like this. The key is whether you can withstand it or not.

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AirdropLicker

· 2025-12-27 03:38

150 billion sounds impressive, but when spread out over a day, it’s really nothing. Basically, it’s just daily stop-losses. --- It’s the old cliché of "don’t look at the total," but ask yourself how many people actually caught the bottom of the 10·10 dip? --- Leverage traders are just digging their own graves. Daily liquidation is normal; waiting for extreme event windows is when the real show begins. --- An average of 4-5 billion liquidations per day? That’s okay. Compared to trading volume, it’s just a drop in the bucket. Wake up, everyone. --- So the key still depends on black swan events, not those normal margin calls. This article summarizes it well. --- Don’t panic. Spreading 150 billion over a year is just like that. It’s really small compared to last year’s crash. --- The key phrase is three words: wait for the window. Everything else is noise. Retail investors love to be scared by these numbers and sell off.

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SatoshiHeir

· 2025-12-26 14:45

It should be pointed out that this article falls into a common narrative trap—using arithmetic averages to mask the extreme unevenness of the distribution. On-chain data shows that the Poisson distribution of liquidation events is far from uniform, which precisely validates the applicability of chaos theory in financial systems. Based on my field research, the actual pressure release windows follow some kind of invisible cyclical law—but I don't want to reveal the specific model for now, for fear of being plagiarized by certain KOLs in their research reports. Undoubtedly, the author's conclusion is correct, but the reasoning process is too rough.

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ChainProspector

· 2025-12-26 08:34

150 billion sounds impressive, but when spread out over a day, it's just like that. The key still depends on black swan moments. --- No matter how large the liquidation numbers are, they depend on concentration. Several hundred million per day doesn't pose a real threat. --- The real kill shot isn't in daily fluctuations; it comes during those systemic extreme windows. --- Most of the time, it's just high leverage self-correction. Don't be scared; focusing on risk points is the real strategy. --- When the denominator is as large as 150 billion, it doesn't matter much. It's the concentrated liquidations like on 10.10 that are truly worth paying attention to. --- It's just hype about concepts; what's important is the event intensity, not the total amount. Anyone who understands this logic gets it. --- Daily liquidations are just small-scale, minor issues. Systemic pressure releases are when the real shakeout happens. --- Sounds intimidating, but when smoothed out, it's just routine margin adjustments. The price has long been absorbed.

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MonkeySeeMonkeyDo

· 2025-12-26 08:34

150 billion USD sounds impressive, but when broken down, it's just daily liquidations. The real impact comes from those black swan windows. --- Wow, averaging only 400-500 million per day... Now that I think about it, I’m not so worried. It’s those extreme time windows that require careful attention. --- So the key isn’t the total number, but to focus on those moments that can change the market landscape. Otherwise, you're just being scared by the data. --- There’s some insight here. Finally, someone has broken this down. Don’t just watch liquidation data and start trembling. --- What can I say? Most of the time, it’s just margin adjustments. True upheavals happen only a few times, and the mid-October event was definitely one of those.

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ContractCollector

· 2025-12-26 08:28

150 billion sounds intimidating, but when broken down, it's just everyday accidental fires. The real concern is those few black swan moments. Everyone understands the algorithms; the key is to recognize people, not numbers. Margin calls becoming normalized is indeed true; it's not that scary anymore. What’s 400-500 million a day? I've seen even more intense daily liquidations. Extreme volatility windows are the real killer move; everything else is just daily noise. 150 billion sounds scary? When you level it out, it's nothing; the market fluctuates that much every day. It's just a numbers game; don't say I didn't warn you, brother. It's just the routine operation of leverage explosions; no need for over-interpretation. I remember the wave on 10·10; that was a real slide, usually it's just small skirmishes. Don't believe these total numbers meant to scare; you need to look at the quality of the events.

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0xInsomnia

· 2025-12-26 08:25

$150 billion sounds impressive, but when spread out over each day, it's just like that. The real market dumps are still those few black swan events. --- It's that same saying "Don't be scared by the numbers," but I always feel like I'm stepping right on the brink of liquidation every time. --- The wave on 10·10 was indeed outrageous. The systemic pressure release was just too much to handle. --- If we average out the daily liquidation volume, it doesn't seem to impact the market as much as expected. --- So the key is to know when a major market window is coming. The question is, who can really seize it? --- A surge in liquidation limits indicates more people are using leverage. A big show is inevitable sooner or later. --- Numbers have become numb. Now we're just waiting for the next extreme event—that will be the real teaching moment.

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ForkLibertarian

· 2025-12-26 08:20

150 billion sounds impressive, but when broken down, it's just routine operations. The only times that truly move the market are those few extreme conditions. --- Nonsense, it's the same old theory. We've all seen the 10·10 event. Systematic pressure release is just another way of saying "cutting leeks." --- The key is to clearly distinguish between noise and signals; otherwise, you're just being led around by these numbers every day. --- This logic isn't flawed, but the problem is how retail investors can identify which window is the real "extreme time window" in advance. --- Getting numb to liquidations, anyway, every time they say "this time is different," but next time it's the same old story. --- What they say is right, but in practice, who can really stay calm? When prices fall, everyone panics just the same. --- With an average daily liquidation of 400-500 million, isn't that scary enough? For small retail investors like me, it's a catastrophe, brother.

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NullWhisperer

· 2025-12-26 08:20

1.5 trillion sounds crazy till you realize it's just noise between the actual regime-shift events, ngl

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