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This Christmas Eve, the cryptocurrency market is far from peaceful.
At 8:00 PM Beijing time tonight, 88.89 million Plasma tokens will be unlocked; tomorrow, December 26th, approximately $23 billion worth of Bitcoin options will expire. Under the pressure of these two major events, the market has already sensed the coming storm.
**How tense is the current market situation?**
Bitcoin repeatedly tests around $86,500, once surging toward the $90,000 resistance but failing to break through, now stuck at $88,600. Ethereum is barely holding at $3,000, with no upward momentum. On the surface, it seems the market has calmed down during the holiday, but in reality, undercurrents are surging.
The most telling data is this: overnight, open interest in BTC perpetual contracts on major exchanges dropped by $3 billion, and ETH perpetual contracts decreased by $2 billion. This is not retail investors entering the market with leverage, but the market actively deleveraging.
Holiday liquidity is inherently weak, and small funds can cause large fluctuations. Now everyone is waiting, watching, and holding coins in anticipation. This is the most bizarre calm before the storm.
**What will happen when options expire?**
300,000 BTC options will expire tomorrow, meaning both bulls and bears are vying for pricing control. Whoever controls the price will determine the fate of a large number of options. The outcome of this showdown will directly influence the market’s next direction.
In other words: tonight may seem calm, but tomorrow could be the turning point.