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The involvement of a major sovereign financial power is often not the end of the story, but rather the beginning of a more complex chess game.
A piece of news yesterday stirred quite a ripple in the global crypto market: two top Russian stock exchanges—the Moscow Exchange and the St. Petersburg Exchange—both announced they are ready to launch cryptocurrency trading services and are fully cooperating with the new regulatory framework set by the Russian Central Bank. This means that by around 2026, an economy with a population of 140 million will have built a "compliance channel" led by the state.
The official press release may seem ordinary, but behind it lies years of policy tug-of-war and strategic shifts. From the initial legal confirmation in 2020, to experimental cross-border payment trials in 2024, and now to a clear comprehensive regulatory approach, Russia’s logic is very straightforward: this is not called embracing, but co-opting. The core strategy is to establish a "walled garden"—internally, with licensed exchanges as hubs, setting retail investor annual investment limits around 300,000 rubles, and guiding traffic; externally, seeking to use crypto assets as leverage to break through financial sanctions.
What this reflects is a global trend that has already been set in stone: the era of "barbaric growth" in crypto finance has come to an end, and a new stage of "institutionalization" has arrived. Countries are piling up their own compliance walls, and for the global on-chain protocol and investor groups, the narrative of pure "on-chain primacy" is being proven wrong by reality. The new game rules are in front of us—how to flexibly switch between different "compliance barriers" and extract value is the real challenge that needs to be solved.