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Observing recent trends, a typical descending flag pattern is unfolding. However, from another perspective, this can also be understood as a full display of continuation oscillation.
The probability of a direct surge within the descending flag is actually not high. The market is more likely to need time to fully interpret this oscillation process. If a rebound occurs, the probability of the price range between 3600-3800 is quite considerable.
One phenomenon worth reflecting on: last year, many people failed to successfully exit the top of altcoins, and this year they are still increasing their positions, even blindly chasing highs. This reveals a clear information gap and operational rhythm difference between retail investors and large players—both are operating on essentially different channels, with completely different understandings and responses to market rhythm. This dislocation largely determines the final profit outcome.