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Recently, the market has been truly crazy—sleep quality has plummeted. Before the trade friction officially started, the crypto world had already collapsed on its own. Bitcoin plummeted 15% in one day, Ethereum fared even worse, dropping 21%, and the total liquidation on the network exceeded $20 billion. Many people are stunned by these numbers. Tariffs and crypto assets shouldn’t really be related, right? Why has the crypto market become the most sensitive weather vane?
Let me break down the underlying reasons and share my own coping strategies.
**The crypto world has long ceased to be an independent kingdom**
Ten years ago, Bitcoin was touted as an "independent economy," but the situation has reversed in recent years—it has become a clear indicator of global risk sentiment. When the Trump administration announced tariffs, global stocks and commodity futures plummeted, and assets with high volatility like cryptocurrencies naturally took the brunt. The reason is simple: a large amount of institutional funds had already entered the market, and as soon as risk appeared, they instinctively sold off high-risk assets to hold cash and protect themselves.
To give a concrete example: in early March, when Trump announced plans to impose tariffs on Mexico, Bitcoin immediately dropped below $83,000; by April, when the "reciprocal tariffs" were actually implemented, the crypto market, along with US stock futures, dove sharply. Today’s crypto market is like a soldier tethered to Wall Street—when it charges forward, it surges wildly; when it retreats, it crashes even harder.
**The real trigger for the plunge was leverage accumulation**
On the surface, the panic was triggered by fears of trade war, but the root cause lies in the leverage bubble within the crypto market itself. The previous continuous upward trend had piled up long contracts to the brim. When prices started to fall, it was like knocking over dominoes—liquidations happened in rapid succession, unstoppable. The big drop at the end of May was a prime example, with many traders using tenfold leverage getting wiped out to zero.