Recently, a well-known research institution's Bitcoin forecast has sparked quite a bit of discussion in the community—some say their predictions are inconsistent, but actually, they are reversed. The co-founder recently explained that the seemingly contradictory forecasts actually come from different departments and different time cycle studies, not internal conflicts within the organization.

Here's the specifics: the digital asset strategy team provided a relatively conservative estimate—that Bitcoin might retreat to the $60,000 to $65,000 range in the first half of 2026. It does seem to differ from some more optimistic voices. But wait, what does this precisely indicate? It shows that different research perspectives and investment horizons can indeed lead to different conclusions, which is very normal.

Imagine, a department focused on long-term strategy might look at 5 to 10-year trend cycles, while a team doing short-term risk assessment is concerned with volatility risks within the next 18 months. Neither is wrong; they are just asking different questions. Such multi-angle analysis actually helps investors gain a more comprehensive understanding of potential market directions. The organization clarifying this point is essentially telling everyone: don’t rush to say we are contradicting ourselves; we are viewing the same market through different microscopes.