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#ETH Forecasts, Chart Analysis
ETH is currently trading around $2,991 with a moderately downward trend over the month, but a short-term rebound from support.
1. Trend: over 30 days, ETH -1.72%, over the year -12.28%, price below the 200-day moving average at about $3,570.
2. Levels: nearby support at 2,800–2,830, resistance around 3,030–3,130 based on Fibonacci and 30-day SMA.
3. Momentum: RSI around 46 (neutral), MACD below zero, indicating a weakened bearish impulse without panic.
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## Detailed Analysis
### 1. Trend and Overall Price Picture
Currently, Ethereum (ETH) is around $2,991 with a daily change of approximately +3.09%.
The picture over different periods is as follows:
In the last ~30 days, the price has hovered around $3,000: attempts to rise to $3,237 were made, but now the price has returned to the lower part of the range (around $2,830–3,000), indicating a sideways movement with a downward bias rather than a stable uptrend.
On the chart for the past month, this looks like: several highs above $3,100 and a subsequent pullback to lows around $2,827 with increased volatility.
**What does this mean:** globally, ETH is still about 40% below its all-time high of ~$4,954, and the current range appears to be a consolidation phase after higher levels.
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### 2. Key Support and Resistance Levels
The current price of $2,991 is:
1. Slightly above the 7-day simple moving average (SMA7) around $2,963.
2. Approximately at the 30-day moving average (SMA30) ~$3,007, testing the medium-term "balance line."
3. Significantly below the 200-day SMA at about $3,570, indicating that the long-term trend remains more bearish for now.
Fibonacci levels (based on swing high $3,446.6 and swing low $2,626.9):
ETH is currently trading above the pivot point of $2,935 but below the important resistance cluster of 3,030–3,130.
**What does this mean:**
1. The zone 2,800–2,830 looks like strong support: it coincides with the recent low ($2,827) and the 78.6% Fibonacci level.
2. The area 3,030–3,130 is the nearest "seller's peak": here are the 50% and 38.2% Fibonacci levels and the 30-day SMA. A sustained breakout above it would significantly improve the technical picture.
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### 3. Momentum and Indicators (RSI, MACD)
Momentum indicators show a mixed but not extreme picture.
1. RSI14 around 45.7, RSI7 around 47. This is mid-scale, with no clear overbought or oversold signals.
2. MACD: MACD line around -63, signal -49, histogram approximately -14, meaning the indicator remains in negative territory but without a very strong bearish impulse.
3. Volumes over 24 hours are about $24.5 billion, over 7 days approximately $194.8 billion, and over 30 days around $837.8 billion. This shows stable liquidity but no explosive capital inflow.
**What does this mean:** The momentum more indicates a "cautious sideways" with a slight seller bias. Buyers are active at supports but have not yet dominated enough to reverse the medium-term downward slope.
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Technically, ETH is currently in a consolidation phase below the 200-day moving average: a short-term rebound has already occurred, but the long-term trend has not yet reversed. The key support zone is around 2,800–2,830, and the nearest "test of strength" for bulls is the area 3,030–3,130.
As long as the price stays above the pivot point of about $2,935, a smooth recovery scenario remains possible, but a sustained upward reversal will require consolidating above resistance and improving momentum on MACD and RSI.
Confidence: High, as this analysis is based on current price data and standard technical indicators for ETH.