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The small daily gains have led to a sharp rise in Bitcoin?
My view is: this is most likely the last round of false signals!
From the news: US CPI remains moderate, Japan raises interest rates by 25 basis points—seemingly contradictory, but the market has already digested the expectations. Currently, this rally looks more like a forced push driven by “all negative news is out.”
But the key question is: are big funds really coming in as the bagholders?
I think it’s more like they’re looking for counterparty traders at high levels to turn over positions.
Looking at the charts, although the short-term is strong, the momentum is clearly lacking—prices are rising quickly, but volume hasn’t kept up. This kind of structure is often not a true breakout but a false top诱多. Resistance above is layered, and the more it rises, the heavier the selling pressure becomes.
To put it simply: it’s not that they don’t want it to rise, but they don’t want you to chase.
I still say—don’t get carried away chasing high. My intraday strategy remains unchanged: wait for a pullback and look for shorting opportunities.
Market fluctuations are not scary; what’s scary is stepping into the wrong rhythm. If you always buy high and get trapped, or sell low and cut losses, it’s not the market targeting you, but your rhythm being out of sync.