السوق التنبئي يدخل العصر الرئيسي، مع الفرص والتحديات الجديدة وراء الاندماج العميق بين التشفير والذكاء الاصطناعي

【Blockchain Ritmo】Prediction markets have become a new trend. Many industry insiders believe that 2026 will witness the true explosion of this track — as cryptocurrency technology and artificial intelligence deepen their integration, prediction market scale will expand, coverage will broaden, and markets will become smarter. However, new prosperity inevitably brings new challenges.

The surge in contract volume is a signal. This year we can see more new contracts coming online one after another, not only those concerning macro events like elections or geopolitics, but also diverse niche sectors and intricately interwoven scenarios. Once these contracts disclose data, they will be integrated into the news ecosystem and may even influence public opinion in return. This raises an acute question: what exactly is the value of such information? How can market design be optimized while ensuring transparency and auditability? Blockchain technology provides precisely the foundational infrastructure here.

The real test lies in the resolution mechanism. When contracts grow explosively, the market needs a reliable “consensus on truth” mechanism to resolve the adjudication problem — who will determine what events have actually occurred? This is the core challenge that builders must solve and is key to whether prediction markets can achieve long-term healthy development.